Recent comments

Lyle P.

South Dakota considers changes to nonresident hunting regulations - posted 6 months ago

Robicheaux - Why do you own a dog slave? I ask that you set the non-human animal free rather than continue to pen and enslave that animal (which was savagely torn away from parents and siblings) for your perverse pleasure and misguided patriarchal behavior that you are its friend. The nerve and ignorance to house a stolen animal that spends every sad day of its life longing to once again snuggle up to mom and dad and its siblings rather than be institutionalized in your prison home where free will to leave and find parents and siblings is prevented. how can you do this? Think of the non-human animal you have enslaved. WHY????? How can you be so callous to be nothing more than the circus trainer who says the elephant likes being kept in a pen and fed by a person rather than roam with its family. WHY?????

Lyle P.

South Dakota considers changes to nonresident hunting regulations - posted 6 months ago

Alafair - Legal activity. Since you have ridden up on a high horse to confidently reveal the one true path to enlightenment, how about share some information with you: Do you burn carbon fuels to heat your home? Eat food grown on land that used to be the home for wildlife but know tills them up destroying their burrows and nests with each planting? Live in a home covering up what used to be fields for wildlife? Live in a home with components made of petrochemicals? Do you recycle 100% of the items you bring into your home? Do you ever fly on airplanes for leisure trips? Do you hold investments that pay interest? Have you ever operated a lawnmower that dices up insects while you use water and chemicals to have a lawn that is likely not native to your region. Have you worn two different clothing fibers next to each other? Have you lifted more than the weight of a mustard seed on the Sabbath? Have you ever tossed a battery or lightbulb of any size into the trash rather than take to the proper recycling and waste management facility? Have you ever bought a bottle of water in a plastic bottle? How often do you check the air pressure in your vehicle's tires? What is the fewest number of people to carpool with you when you drove the past 3 months? Have you ever burned wood in a fireplace or in a campfire? Do you use electronics and, if so, have you ever not taken them to the proper e-recycle depot rather than toss in trash? How much electricity do you use accessing the internet for leisure and is any of that powered by burning coal?

Lyle P.

APPLICATION STRATEGY 2019: Idaho Sheep, Moose, Goat - posted 6 months ago

Look at Mountain Goat in 2018 in ID. 48 total tags in the goat quota. UP TO 4 tags of the 48 could be awarded to NR. 224 NR applied for those UP TO 4 tags. 863 total applicants applied for goat. Look at 6021/Unit 67. 5 tags in quota. 5 awarded. 38 NR applied. 126 total applicants for 67.

How do we sort out all these numbers?

About 25% of all applicants for goat were NR in 2018 (224/863) so is likely the UP TO 4 NR tags would be awarded since 1 in 4 applications selected to consider would be a NR which is higher likelihood than 1 in 10 (the 10% NR cap) odds. In the 2018 goat draw 4 NR tags were awarded. If instead only 10 NR applied within the 863 applicants then 10/863 would be well under 1 in 10 so would expect the UP TO 4 NR tags cap to NOT be met in that hypothetical example. We will use 4 tags for expected number of NR tags awarded in the draw.

224 NR were chasing those 4 NR goat tags. Your odds as a NR of being one of the 4 NR to draw a tag was under 2% (4/224 = 1.8%). If someone tells you Unit X had 20% odds as a NR to draw a tag, well, put your hand firmly on your wallet and back away.

Up to 1 tag was available for NR in Unit 67. The odds a NR application for Unit 67 would be in the first 5 applications for 67 drawn (no chance for a NR to draw Unit 67 unless in first 5 applications for Unit 67 PLUS that NR must be the FIRST NR application drawn for 67. The NR odds to be drawn as one of the FIRST FIVE applications for 67 was 23.8% (38/126) times as applications for Unit 67 are drawn. 5 opportunities since 5 tags to award so 23.8% times 5 tags is 119% "odds" a NR application for Unit 67 is among the first 5 applications for 67 drawn. So very likely. But since only 1 NR tag possible then 100% is the max odds for our calculation for Unit 67. But it takes more than being drawn before 5 Residents applying to Unit 67 are drawn. It takes a bit more luck to get a NR tag in Unit 67. You also have to be drawn before 4 NR tags are awarded for the species.

That is a challenge to overcome if want to be able to confidently tell the spouse, "I have 2% odds to draw a $2100 NR goat tag" since the spouse might hear, "There is 98% odds I am getting a $2100 refund in a few weeks."

Okay, Is possible all 4 NR tags for goats are awarded for Units other than 67 before the first NR tag is drawn which had Unit 67 as their First Choice. Remember 224 NR applied for goat and 38 NR applied in Unit 67 so 186 NR did not apply for 67. The odds the first NR applicant drawn WAS NOT in 67 is 83% (186/224) so only 17% odds that first NR applicant drawn is in Unit 67. Good news is that each of the first 4 NR applications drawn will be awarded a tag, ignoring duplicate First Choices in those NR applications. So, you have 4 opportunities as a NR x 17% odds each time while NR quota remains so 68% odds one of the Unit 67 NR applicants will get a tag. May not be you, though. Odds are 2.6% (1 in 38) a particular NR applicant for Unit 67 will be the NR drawn in Unit 67.

So, about 100% odds 4 tags will be awarded to NR and about 100% odds a NR applicant will be drawn for consideration before the 5 Unit 67 tag quota is met and odds are 68% one of those first 4 NR goat applications drawn for a NR will be in Unit 67 and 2.6% odds you will be the first NR applicant in Unit 67 to get that tag. 100% x 100% x 68% x 2.6% = 1.8%. Unit 67 is in line with overall NR goat odds.

Lyle P.

Potential over-the-counter mountain goat hunt in Wyoming - posted 9 months ago

Dillon, I was sent a link to an WY newspaper article this morning and appears will be one non-resident tag in each of the two units where F&G wants to eliminate goats. Not OTC. Likely 2 or more resident tags in each of those units. Same price as the one-in-a-lifetime goat hunts. A WY guide suggested would be very tough to find a quality billy if you held one of these tags.

Lyle P.

Potential over-the-counter mountain goat hunt in Wyoming - posted 10 months ago

Looks like the 2019 intention to offer Mountain Goat tags 004-A and 005-A are based on the goal of managing goats aggressively in certain zones where bighorn sheep also exist.